Can an Overconfident Employee be an Asset to a Company?

Andres Espitia
Profile Picture of - Andres Espitia

Andres Espitia

Abstract information

Is it always detrimental to a firm if an employee is overconfident? In this video, ANDRES ESPITIA studies overconfidence and presents some scenarios in which it can be of benefit. Espitia makes use of a game theoretic model and outlines case studies involving a nuclear power plant employee concerned with safety and a human resource manager responsible for performance based reward. The study finds that overconfidence may be an asset when firms require employees to react to evidence in an extreme manner, where a muted response is detrimental. The model developed for this project opens the way for further research on belief based biases. Ongoing work will also explore the effects of managerial efforts to promote or restrict overconfidence.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21036/LTPUB101152

Researcher

Andres Felipe Espitia de la Hoz is a postdoctoral researcher in the Institute for Microeconomics at the University of Bonn. Having achieved an MSc degree at the London School of Economics (2015), Espitia completed his PhD research at Northwestern University (2022). His main research interests include microeconomic theory, behavioral economics and organizational economics. A native of Columbia, courses taught by Espitia at the University of Bonn include Topics in Microeconomic Theory and Behavioral Economics.

Institution information

University of Bonn (Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn)

The University of Bonn is one of Germany’s most prestigious and research-intensive institutions, consistently ranked among the top universities worldwide. Founded in 1818, it is celebrated for its academic excellence, particularly in mathematics and economics, and boasts a record of producing several Nobel Laureates and Fields Medalists. Located in the former German capital, the university is integrated into the city’s historic fabric, offering a vibrant international environment and a diverse range of programs across seven faculties. As a member of the elite U15 group, it remains a global leader in innovation and higher education.
University of Bonn (Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn)
Cover Photo of - University of Bonn (Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn)

Original Publication

Confidence and Organizations

Citation

Andres Espitia, 

Latest Thinking, 

Can an Overconfident Employee be an Asset to a Company?, 

https://doi.org/10.21036/LTPUB101152

Credits:

© Andres Espitia 

and Latest Thinking

This work is licensed under CC-BY 4.0